Monday, November 2, 2009

The wind of change

So, the expected correction has finally started and, as for me, did the most of its job last week. In my opinion the trend change is  now  confirmed for semis, small capshome builders and transports. For Nasdaq my scenario seems to be followed with an exception of starting point. The only broad group where the top is clearly not in are big caps with DOW Industrial and XMI as benchmark indexes.
For inflation related stuff  things are a bit trickier. On one side the GSR (Gold to Silver Ratio) indicates the bottom is in.
















On another, gold price and USD index charts still looks uncompleted. The same story for emerging markets ETFs. They had such a strong momentum before the correction has begun, that I can't see them not to make new highs before we'll actually roll over.

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