Tuesday, October 13, 2009

Inflation's run

 No surprise, inflation related staff is the best place to be at the moment. Just look at the chart of Brazilian ETF:














And the Russian one:














And, in contrast, the Chinese ETF clearly  shows some signs of fatigue.














May we say : what is good for Russians is bad for Chinese?
As for the US stocks, the trend is about the same: energy stocks are clear outperformers of the broad market, especially if compared to transports and home builders. For last 2 ones I wouldn't be surprised if the tops are already in. In  fact, the decline of DOW Transportation and Homebuilders indexes has unfolded in 5 waves from the top, meaning from the Elliott's wave perspective the trend has changed:

























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