By establishing the double bottom at around 1.215 EUR/USD confirms my positive opinion and EW count and validates the target of 1.32+ in coming weeks. This target is confirmed as well by the price action in GPB/USD and equities.
Friday, May 28, 2010
Thursday, May 27, 2010
Bottoming
So, in my opinion, we're in the process of bottoming.
Despite the strong performance of the european markets end US futures this morning, be aware of a highly probable pull back to test the Tuesday's low. In my opinion, that will be an excellent entry point if you're not already in.
Despite the strong performance of the european markets end US futures this morning, be aware of a highly probable pull back to test the Tuesday's low. In my opinion, that will be an excellent entry point if you're not already in.
Monday, May 24, 2010
Commodities priced in euro are breaking down as well
Well, the euro seems to be stabilizing. May be some more days of shaking out weak hands, and we will climb higher, toward, at least, 1.32-35.
One of the tings supporting the single currency, I see, is the beginning of the commodities decline. The CRB priced in euro has rolled over, just as it did before in USD:
One of the tings supporting the single currency, I see, is the beginning of the commodities decline. The CRB priced in euro has rolled over, just as it did before in USD:
Thursday, May 20, 2010
Good bye, carry trade!
Euro has finally started to show some resiliency after yesterday's rally. Isn't surprising?
The chart of EUR/AUD is speaking by its self:
The chart of EUR/AUD is speaking by its self:
Thursday, May 13, 2010
Friday, May 7, 2010
Fat fingers?
May be, may be not, after all it's not that important:
The Gold/Silver ratio is surging 3d day in a row:
And what's about US treasuries, they were already rallying for some weeks:
So, was it really because of a fat finger?
The Gold/Silver ratio is surging 3d day in a row:
And what's about US treasuries, they were already rallying for some weeks:
So, was it really because of a fat finger?
Labels:
Elliott Count,
Gold,
Market Trend,
Silver,
T-Bonds
Tuesday, May 4, 2010
Precious metals: time to get out
Gold and silver were in the uptrend since the beginning of February. But it seems their run up was a mere correction which is about to be done.
Gold has corrected 78% of its initial decline since December '09.
The move down will be confirmed after the breach of the low trend line (now at about 1130):
As for the silver, the story is about the same, except that the correction was a bit deeper.
And as for the broad market, the drop of PMs will be anything but bullish.
Monday, May 3, 2010
Thoughts about the primary trend
An excellent analyses about the current market from Claassen Research.
They explain with historical charts and data why we shouldn't pay too much attention to the market's internals. This time it's really different and is similar to the previous bear market rallies.
A must read.
They explain with historical charts and data why we shouldn't pay too much attention to the market's internals. This time it's really different and is similar to the previous bear market rallies.
A must read.
Tuesday, April 27, 2010
The 2nd wave down is already on, just look in the right direction
While Wall Street is pushing higher every single day on the upbeat earnings, let's look what is going on on the other side of the Atlantic ocean. Greek, Portuguese, Spanish and Italian equity indexes are below.
Just wondering, if the size of US government debt ever become an issue, will the reaction of Wall street be the same as in Greece?
Just wondering, if the size of US government debt ever become an issue, will the reaction of Wall street be the same as in Greece?
Monday, April 12, 2010
Is it it?
Great news, they have finally did it! Great news for the Euro bears in the long run, but a bit of pain for the moment. May be, again until 1.3850.
Meantime AUD/USD has flashed a big sell signal this morning dropping after a gap up in the clear 5-wave pattern. We have missed by 16 pips the Nov' 09 recovery high. Is it the end? Will AUD be joined by its peers CAD and silver in coming days?
Meantime AUD/USD has flashed a big sell signal this morning dropping after a gap up in the clear 5-wave pattern. We have missed by 16 pips the Nov' 09 recovery high. Is it the end? Will AUD be joined by its peers CAD and silver in coming days?
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