In the not so distant past the market was taking its time to correct. After a 1st wave, we could expect 50 to 62 percent of retrace in time as well as in price. Not this time. We have really entered a liquidation mode. We're in hurry to liquidate all this "risky" stuff we've hoarded since the beginning of March '09.
So, yesterday (Feb, 4) we have completed the first minute wave (1105 -> 1063 for SPX) of the 3d minor. Usually, the third waves are strong and often extend. So a reasonable target for this minor one could be at near or below 1000 on SPX and 2000 on the Nasdaq Composite. We'll reach the bottom of this third very quickly, most likely next week.
Friday, February 5, 2010
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